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View Full Version : Early voting suggests 2008 may see record turnout, expert says



brandymac27
October-21st-2008, 06:13 PM
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/21/early.voting/index.html?eref=rss_politics&iref=caffertyfile

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Officials in early voting states are reporting record turnout with Election Day still two weeks away.

The numbers indicate a record percentage of voters could participate in the presidential election, a voting expert said.


Michael McDonald, an associate professor of politics and government at George Mason University, said at least 2.2 million people already have voted using absentee or other types of ballots that allow them to vote before the polls open on November 4.


Twenty-nine states were accepting early ballots as of Tuesday, and two more -- New Jersey and Oklahoma -- will begin accepting early ballots next week.


In North Carolina, which has developed into a battleground state, nearly 500,000 voters have cast absentee ballots, according to the State Board of Elections. Officials at the State Board of Elections expect to surpass numbers from the 2004 election, when 700,000 people voted early.


Fifty-six percent, of those voting early in North Carolina were Democrats, while 28 percent were Republicans and 16 percent were not registered as a member of a party, the elections board said.


Officials in Houston, Texas, said more than 39,000 people voted on the first day of early voting Monday, nearly double the amount for the initial day in 2004, CNN affiliate KHOU-TV in Houston reported.


Early voting has also begun in the critical battleground states of Florida, Colorado, Ohio, Nevada and Virginia.


A record numbers of voters lined up to vote when Florida opened its early voting stations Monday, with some waiting hours to cast their ballots. The early polling stations will remain open until the weekend before Election Day.


Jennifer Davis, spokeswoman for the Florida (http://topics.cnn.com/topics/Florida) secretary of state's office, said several counties are reporting numbers far exceeding the 2004 turnout.

In Sarasota County, 4,700 people cast ballots Monday, compared with 2,088 on the first day four years ago, Davis said,leading officials there to believe that half the county's ballots could be cast before November 4.
In Martin, St. Lucie and Indian River counties, 6,688 people already had opted for early voting, compared with 1,088 on the first day in 2004.


The Jacksonville Times-Union reported long lines in northeast Florida, with at least two counties reporting problems with voting machines. In Duval County, 7 of 15 optical scanning machines used to count ballots had to be replaced, the newspaper reported. http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/.element/img/2.0/mosaic/tabs/video.gif Watch as early voters face long lines in Florida » (http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/21/early.voting/index.html?eref=rss_politics&iref=caffertyfile#cnnSTCVideo)


The number of voters who already have cast their ballots could be much higher, McDonald said, because many states have not reported the number of ballots they have received so far.


Early voting (http://topics.cnn.com/topics/Elections_and_Voting) suggests a record 213 million people are eligible to vote this year, said McDonald, who also works with the consortium that conducts election exit polling for broadcast and news networks.


"This will be the election in which the most people have ever voted in an American election in the history of our country," he said.


McDonald said early voting is often a good prediction of the level of turnout on Election Day, and heavy early voting indicates the turnout this year will exceed the 60 percent turnout in the 2004 election.


"We have a very good chance of beating the 64 percent turnout in the 1960 election," McDonald said. "We really could be looking at a historic election in modern American history."


That race saw the highest level of turnout in American history, except the 66 percent turnout in the 1908 presidential election.
McDonald pointed to the record number of early votes already cast in Georgia as an example of the high interest in the race.


More than 690,000 Georgians already have voted, more than the entire number that cast ballots before Election Day in 2004, McDonald said. That figure represents nearly 21 percent of all the 3.3 million presidential votes cast in 2004, he said.


"If we see this persist across all states, we really could be in for an election of historic proportions," McDonald said.
Of Georgians who voted early, a majority, 56 percent, were women, according to the Georgia secretary of state's office. About 60 percent of those voting were white, while 35 percent voting early were black, the office said.


Turnout was so heavy in Charlotte, North Carolina, that Mecklenburg County officials are extending voting hours and opening 20 voting sites this weekend instead of the originally planned five, WSOC-TV in Charlotte reported.


Like Georgia, a majority of those voting early in North Carolina -- 56 percent -- were women, the election board said. The board also reported that 68 percent of those voting early were white, while 28 percent were black.


When early voting began in Virginia last Wednesday, election officials in Mason District, in the northern Virginian county of Fairfax, had to turn their largest meeting room into a seating area to handle the number of voters wanting to cast early ballots.


"We needed to have enough room for people, so they wouldn't go into the parking lot," Supervisor Penny Gross said.


Gross said she had expected large numbers because "I had people in my office for weeks, asking if they could vote," but said even she was caught off guard by the turnout.

"I was pleasantly surprised by the crowd, surprised at the variety and quite frankly, the numbers," she said.

cjcdaman
October-21st-2008, 06:58 PM
I'll assume it is due to the large amount of blacks and young voters wanting to vote for Obama. I'm sure it isn't McCain that is making this happen. LOL

twa
October-21st-2008, 07:03 PM
I'll assume it is due to the large amount of blacks and young voters wanting to vote for Obama. I'm sure it isn't McCain that is making this happen. LOL

Funny,Many McCain supporters I know have voted early
I plan to as well for the first time.

brandymac27
October-21st-2008, 07:05 PM
Me and my hubby are going Friday.

Teller
October-21st-2008, 07:21 PM
I'll assume it is due to the large amount of blacks and young voters wanting to vote for Obama. I'm sure it isn't McCain that is making this happen. LOL

No, but all the evil white people who want to make an UnderArmour commercial and "protect this house!" will. :rolleyes:

dockeryfan
October-22nd-2008, 06:44 AM
I'll assume it is due to the large amount of blacks and young voters wanting to vote for Obama. I'm sure it isn't McCain that is making this happen. LOL

I doubt it. The early voters are most likely republican, not young people.

Lines will be horrible. One commentator I heard said that some precincts in Ohio will have delays approaching 8 hours. 8.

brandymac27
October-22nd-2008, 06:54 AM
I doubt it. The early voters are most likely republican, not young people.



Actually, here in NC the majority of early voters have been democrat, so has new voter registration.

North Carolina: "Early voting opened Thursday and drew some 214,000 voters to the polls in the first two days, leading to hours-long lines in parts of the state and lengthy schedules for poll workers. In the first few days, the balloting clearly favored Democrats, with those registered with the party making up 62 percent of those who had voted. Only 22 percent of the voters had been registered Republicans. North Carolina has 15 electoral votes," as does Georgia. And in Colorado: "Nearly 8.5 percent of Colorado's 3.2 million registered voters have already cast ballots by mail or at early-voting polling places. Nearly 249,000 mail-in ballots had arrived at county clerks' offices by Monday, the first day of early voting. About 21,000 people cast ballots at polling places, according to the Colorado secretary of state's office."

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/home/daily/site_102108/content/01125113.guest.html

-From Rush Limbaugh's website (I know, I know, but it really is an accurate report)

SUSkinsFan
October-22nd-2008, 06:56 AM
No, but all the evil white people who want to make an UnderArmour commercial and "protect this house!" will. :rolleyes:WTF are you talking about?

Teller
October-22nd-2008, 07:01 AM
WTF are you talking about?

The idea that has been floated that whites who still harbor racist tendencies will turn out en masse to prevent an African-American from winning.

SUSkinsFan
October-22nd-2008, 07:02 AM
The idea that has been floated that whites who still harbor racist tendencies will turn out en masse to prevent an African-American from winning.and where in this thread has ANYONE said that.

Teller
October-22nd-2008, 07:12 AM
and where in this thread has ANYONE said that.

You'll excuse me for discussing potential reasons for high turnout in a thread discussing high turnout, Mr. Thread Officer.

SUSkinsFan
October-22nd-2008, 07:15 AM
You'll excuse me for discussing potential reasons for high turnout in a thread discussing high turnout, Mr. Thread Officer.but there was no need for that comment. no one said anything about high white-voter turnout to try and keep an African-American from being elected.

Teller
October-22nd-2008, 07:21 AM
but there was no need for that comment. no one said anything about high white-voter turnout to keep an African-American from being elected.

So I have to wait for someone else to express an opinion, and then comment on it? I don't think so. Interesting too that the article discusses mostly southern states. If my assertion were to be a factor, where do you think that would be most likely to happen?

I know it's cool to jump my **** on matters racial, and I guess you're today's Stud of the Day for doing so, but I'll share my opinions as I see fit. That's kind of the pont behind having a messageboard in the first place.

SUSkinsFan
October-22nd-2008, 07:31 AM
So I have to wait for someone else to express an opinion, and then comment on it? I don't think so. Interesting too that the article discusses mostly southern states. If my assertion were to be a factor, where do you think that would be most likely to happen?

I know it's cool to jump my **** on matters racial, and I guess you're today's Stud of the Day for doing so, but I'll share my opinions as I see fit. That's kind of the pont behind having a messageboard in the first place.But to bring race into it in the way you did is just stupid. The article is about the higher than usual voter turnout which is being driven in part by African-Americans turning out higher to vote for Obama (in GA alone African-American early voting is up 14% over 2004.). USA Today also noted that the higher turnout could be due in part to Democrats GOTV efforts.

And I really don't care about your views on racial matters, but when you needlessly bring race into a discussion the way you did I'm going to comment on it.

Teller
October-22nd-2008, 07:35 AM
But to bring race into it in the way you did is just stupid. The article is about the higher than usual voter turnout which is being driven in part by African-Americans turning out higher to vote for Obama (in GA alone African-American early voting is up 14% over 2004.). USA Today also noted that the higher turnout could be due in part to Democrats GOTV efforts.

And I really don't care about your views on racial matters, but when you needlessly bring race into a discussion the way you did I'm going to comment on it.

Never would have guessed. :rolleyes: I've disagreed with a liberal, so now I'm "stupid." What are you, if you think African-Americans and dems GOTV efforts are the sole reason for increased turnout?

Again, I shared an opinion, and a relevant one, in an appropriate place to do so. I'll continue to do that, and if you continue to call me "stupid" for doing so, I'd imagine I'll get a break from you for a while in the near future.

Interesting too, that you want race left out of the equation, then comment on the AA vote. Hypocrisy at it's finest.

SUSkinsFan
October-22nd-2008, 07:41 AM
Never would have guessed. :rolleyes: I've disagreed with a liberal, so now I'm "stupid." What are you, if you think African-Americans and dems GOTV efforts are the sole reason for increased turnout?I never said you were stupid. We don't agree on many things politically but you are an astute individual that makes alot of valid points. What I said was that THE WAY you did something was stupid. There's a difference.


Interesting too, that you want race left out of the equation, then comment on the AA vote. Hypocrisy at it's finest.It's a fact that African-American turnout is higher in early voting this year than in years past, you were speculating based on something that no one has said in this thread.

Teller
October-22nd-2008, 08:04 AM
It's a fact that African-American turnout is higher in early voting this year than in years past, you were speculating based on something that no one has said in this thread.

I guess they'll have to put me in NNI. (No New Ideas).

brianm23
October-22nd-2008, 08:25 AM
I'll assume it is due to the large amount of blacks and young voters wanting to vote for Obama. I'm sure it isn't McCain that is making this happen. LOL


No, people are actually terrified that McCain might get into office so they'll do their best to ensure that doesn't happen. You do that by getting off your ass and voting. The economy is hell, his economic plan is ****ing awful and seems to be made up by corporate lobbyist, and he's publicly said he wasn't too "up on economics".

No thanks, but we'll bypass another Bush administration for 8 more years.

Mass_SkinsFan
October-22nd-2008, 09:03 AM
Very interesting. Other than absentee balloting, I don't believe we have this sort of thing up here in New England. At least I've never heard of it going on in the areas I've lived in (CT, MA, RI).

I'm not really sure that I'm very happy about the idea of high voter turnout, considering my beliefs about the general quality of the voters in America; but that's probably better discussed in other places.



No thanks, but we'll bypass another Bush administration for 8 more years.

And give us either 4 or 8 years of Josef Stalin instead? Sorry, that would be even worse.