i rejected this trade but is my logic right?

[squatch66]

i got a trade offer of mcfadden, felix jones, any receiver that i want on this guys team and his first next year for portis.

i rejected because the guy just traded for adrian peterson yesterday. also, portis is going to be one of my keepers(we get two keepers) and most of the good rbs are going to be kept as well. i dont see a rookie being worth a first round pick, let alone making the impact that portis has had this year. i am stacked at receiver(wayne, marshall, housh, moss, and desean jackson) so noone that he has is going to have any value for me and would just be a waste because i am not going to keep any of them, save for marshall or wayne. not only that but this would give this guy peterson and portis for the rest of this year and next and that would be pretty much unstoppable.

so tell me am i wrong on this one?

[SkinsNut73]

I tend to think you made a wise choice in rejecting this trade...

You are absolutely correct in that you do not need another WR. You are all set with the ones you have...maybe if he was offering Andre Johnson or Larry Fitzgerald I would feel differently, but any other WR simply will not make your starting lineup.

I also think you made the correct decision because McFadden and Jones' value are not as great as Portis' for the foreseeable future. Plus, as you point out, even if this trade would strengthen your team, allowing your opponent to wrap up Portis and Peterson could spell doom for you and the rest of your league for the next few years. That would be a powerful backfield.

The only reason I might be in favor of the trade is we are working Portis so much that I'm afraid his productivity may decrease in future seasons. I'm not sure if you've ever heard of the "370 carries" rule or also known as the "curse of 370", but they've kept track of RB's who have had 370 carries in one season and how they've essentially been wrecked after that...never the same again. Guys like Priest Holmes, Shaun Alexander, Larry Johnson, Jamal Anderson, Terrell Davis, etc...all fell victim to this. I think Emmitt Smith and Eric Dickerson are the only 2 backs (out of like 25) who ever beat the curse and performed well the next season. The rest saw their stats drop dramatically.

Well...Portis is on pace for 370+. I hope he falls into the Dickerson/Smith category, but we sure are working him hard...(and I'm okay with that since I own him in my money league):)

[squatch66]

thanks nut :D

i got a message back from the guy saying that he agreed that it would cripple my team not only this year but next as well and that he didnt think i would accept it.

i have said it before but i seriously think that the guys im playing with think that just because i have never played fantasy before that i dont know anything about football.

[SkinsNut73]

Ah yea, they vulture over the new guy trying to take advantage of his weaknesses. Well, for your first year you have done well...assembled a good team and are in the thick of things now (if I remember correctly, you are the one who started slow, but got things turned around with a couple of moves)...

[squatch66]

well i havent really turned it around. i am sitting at 2-5 now and am going to have to win out if i am going to have an outside chance at the playoffs. the main thing that has hurt me this year was that i didnt realize the value of a starting rb. i am hopeful that sammy morris' knee isnt hurt too badly and that he will be able to start again on sunday. if i can start morris and mewelde moore i might be cooking with portis in the mix as well.