LOL. Wow. Was he joking?Quote:
Originally Posted by Rdskns2000
That's even worse than http://unskewedpolls.com/ They have Romney at 359 to 179. My favorite prediction of theirs is Oregon going for Romney, 51-46.
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LOL. Wow. Was he joking?Quote:
Originally Posted by Rdskns2000
That's even worse than http://unskewedpolls.com/ They have Romney at 359 to 179. My favorite prediction of theirs is Oregon going for Romney, 51-46.
http://www.nationalreview.com/articl...ion-john-fund#
Cincinnati, Ohio — If the presidential election goes into “overtime” — if no winner is known on Wednesday morning after the election — the culprits may be procrastinating absentee voters in Ohio. If it goes on beyond that with no decision, it may be due to lawyers from both parties’ fighting trench warfare over individual ballots in a bloody recount. It could easily happen in other states, but the danger of an “overtime” election is perhaps greatest in Ohio.
I stand by my prediction. Tomorrow will be an early night, because we wont know for DAYS who has won.
I disagree with those that think it will be a long night, or a long few days, before we know a winner. While some states may be close, like Florida or Colorado, I think Obama will have won enough other states by at least 2-3 points that it won't matter.
...Unless Obama wins either CO or VA, or both, in which case it will already be over regardless of what OH looks like.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kilmer17
I'm ignoring things that look frankly unlikely IMO, like Romney winning Iowa/NH or Obama winning Florida (though Obama is less than half a point behind down there). Obama can win just one of CO/OH/VA and the election is basically over.
I'm betting foxnews has highest rating
And msnbc will be the greatest/craziest
With CNN delving down into counties from the Hubble
Swiping around like the minority report
I for one, just hope there is a clear winner, either way. And I really hope people stop trying to pass last minute laws to change who can and cannot vote.
I think Obama ends up with 280+. Seems like Iowa and NH are going his way, so if he gets Ohio, it's over. It'll definitely be closer than in 2008, but I believe Obama still comes out on top.
It's looking like VA may go blue again as well.Quote:
Originally Posted by MattFancy
So if he gets NH, VA, and IA would that get him to 270?Quote:
Originally Posted by Heisenberg
Not quite.Quote:
Originally Posted by MattFancy
If he were to get VA, NH, IA, NV and WI then he wins without Ohio (or Colorado).
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...ite-house.html
That's a good website to test out combinations with.
Well, he would still need Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania (or some other combination like that) but if he gets Iowa and Virginia, chances are he is getting those states too.Quote:
Originally Posted by MattFancy
Quote:
Originally Posted by Unforgiven
Well going by the FiveThirtyEight blog, it seems like Obama has a good chance in all the toss up states except Florida and NC.Quote:
Originally Posted by Predicto
According to Nate Silver, Florida might not be in the bag for Romney. NC I say will go to Romney, but Florida is at a 55% chance of him winning the state. I bet Florida will go down to the wire.Quote:
Originally Posted by MattFancy
Anyone want to offer up predictions on what time the first major news network declares a victory?
I have-Quote:
Originally Posted by Heisenberg
Nov 18th or later.