Uncle Heatster Three-Round Mock -- Feb 22
(Redskins picks highlighted in Maroon)
Fri, 02/22/2008 - 14:23 — dryheat44
1. Miami - Chris Long DL/OLB Virginia -- Parcells has said that he doesn't know what kind of defense he's going to use this year, which means he's going to see what kind of personnel he can put together and then see what their suited for. Long here is the smart pick. He's a tough kid that's been around football all his life, loves the game, and knows how to act professionally. More importantly, he's versatile enough to be an immediate contributor in either the 4-3 or the 3-4.
2. St. Louis - Glenn Dorsey DL LSU -- I was tempted to go OT here, since the Rams OL was historically bad last year, but they also need help on the defensive interior, and there's a better chance that they can get a starting-caliber OT later than a starting-caliber DT. Plus Ochmed would metaphorically smack me upside the head if I didn't go defense here.
3. Atlanta - Darren McFadden RB Arkansas -- This pick is subject to a coin flip, but since the Raiders suck, let's say Atlanta wins. Plus, Al Davis can go on another conspiracy rant. I refuse to believe that Matt Ryan is the answer here. Tom Dimitroff would probably prefer Jake Long or Sedric Ellis, but Arthur Blank is no dummy, and will likely nudge Dimitroff in McFadden's direction. The Falcons have had their worst year since their inception from a PR perspective (Vick, Open mutiny in the locker room, Petrino) and played several home non-sell outs, which is ridiculous for the NFL circa 2007. They also have two running backs incapable of being a full-time guy. McFadden helps on both counts. He'll sell jerseys and tickets, and he can team up with Jerious Norwood to give Atlanta a credible run game, with Warrick Dunn nudged gracefully towards retirement.
4. Oakland - Sedric Ellis DT USC -- Having been burned by the last Big Ten lineman he drafted high (in the draft), Al Davis, getting increasingly lazy in his old age, sees a dominant defensive lineman without having to look outside his home state. Which leaves plenty of time for napping.
5. Kansas City - Jake Long OT Michigan -- I don't think Brody Croyle is going to make Chiefs fans forget Len Dawson....or even the aging Joe Montana. However, I think he'll end up being good enough to win with...if they can get their protection straight. The days of the Chiefs being synonymous with great line play is long gone, and in fact, their line is a few clicks south of terrible. Long's the guy.
6. New York Jets - Vernon Gholston LB Ohio St -- Let's see...drafting Ryan would be an admission of missing on Kellen Clemens. Drafting Clady would be an admission of missing on D'Brickashaw. I don't think either of these things are true, and more importantly, Bradway and Mantits are too proud too admit it if they were. It's possible that they could trade the pick to somebody who wants Ryan, but I think that the Jets pettiness will see Gholston making the Patriots even better, and will draft him so that doesn't happen.
7. New England - We know that Matt Ryan would be an ideal quarterback for the new regime to develop. Are there any other teams out there looking for him? Possibly Carolina and Chicago. At the very least, Baltimore would be willing to flip picks with us to prevent that from happening. Chicago has an extra pick, so let's look at what would likely be the packages: From Baltimore, we could get probably the #8 pick and a fourth rounder. From Chicago, we could get probably get #14 and #44. So where would Belichick be more comfortable drafting? Between the cornerbacks, Clady, and the rush linebackers, I think Belichick will take the chance on somebody he likes there at #14 in order to pick up the second rounder. PROJECTED TRADE: New England trades the #7 pick to Chicago for the #14 and #44 picks. The Bears select Matt Ryan QB Boston College.
8. Baltimore - Ryan Clady OT Boise St -- With Jonathan Ogden leaning towards retirement, an immediate replacement is a must.
9. Cincinnati - Keith Rivers LB USC -- Cincinnati keeps drafting linebackers that fail them, in either health or keeping out of trouble. They could use a running back, since I can envision them pulling the plug on Rudi Johnson, and going into the season with Kenny Watson, Chris Perry, Kenny Irons, and Quincy Wilson is no way to get through life. But running backs can be found later and in free agency. Play-making linebackers, not so much.
10. New Orleans - Leodis McKelvin CB Troy -- More than anything else, New Orleans needs a better flood management system and money to rebuild. Next on the list is somebody who can cover. McKelvin's sticky like glue. And this could launch a run on cornerbacks.
11. Buffalo - Malcolm Kelly WR Oklahoma -- If nothing else, Marv Levy has proven two things -- he can lose Super Bowls, and he's not afraid to "reach" for a player. Buffalo's needs are at MLB and WR, so failing a trade, do they reach for a big target like Kelly, or do they reach for a guy like Curtis Lofton/Phillip Wheeler? You can never have too many guys who can cover, but Buffalo needs some reliable targets for the quarterbacks. Lee Evans is getting lonely. Linebacker will have to wait.
12. Denver - Calais Campbell DE Miami -- Dumervil was a nice find last year, but the Broncos need more of a full-time DE. Campbell is that man.
13. Carolina - Brian Brohm QB Louisville -- One of the surest bets in the offseason is that David Carr will no longer be employed by the Panthers. Brohm would be a logical candidate to succeed Delhomme.
14. New England (from Chicago) -- Aqib Talib CB Kansas -- Essentially, the choices are Derrick Harvey, Kenny Phillips, or whatever CB BB prefers, and it will probably be determined by free agency gains or losses. I think Harvey could be dynamite, but it's very risky to use a pick this high on a guy who hasn't played standing up. I don't get the first-round status assigned to Phillips, personally, and I don't think using back-to-back first rounders on safeties is the answer. Nor is he a clear upgrade on James Sanders. Therefore, let's go best available cornerback. To my eyes, that's Talib.
15. Detroit - Mike Jenkins CB South Florida -- Detroit clearly needs major help on the defensive interior, but it's just not there right now. Next item on the list is secondary. Dre Bly was overrated here, but he was never adequately replaced.
16. Arizona - Rashard Mendenhall RB Illinois -- Mendenhall seems to be a perfect guy to take over for the Edge. He'll be a monster in the Whisenhunt/Carthon/Grimm offense.
17. Minnesota - Derrick Harvey DE Florida -- The needs are fairly simple -- catching the ball, and preventing your opponent from catching the ball. Then again, it appears Kenechi Udezi is going away for a while, so Harvey makes perfect sense here.
18. Houston - Sam Baker OT USC -- Wow, Houston's drafting late this year!
19. Philadelphia - Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie CB Tennessee St -- I think the Eagles underestimated how much worse their pass defense would be without Rod Hood.
20. Tampa Bay - Limas Sweed WR Texas -- When Joey Galloway (37) and Ike Hilliard (32) are your two best receivers, that's a clear cry for help.
21. Washington - Kenny Phillips S Miami-- When Santana Moss and Antwaan Randle-El are your two best receivers, that's a clear indication that your better off than Tampa Bay...but not by much. But as tempting as a WR would be, there remains a hole in the secondary once filled by a Miami big-hitting safety.
22. Dallas (from Cleveland) - Felix Jones RB Arkansas -- We all knew that Jerry Jones was infatuated with an Arkansas running back....
23. Pittsburgh - Brandon Albert G Virginia -- OL and DL depth seem to be the trouble spots. Albert should be a big upgrade over the departing Faneca, and could upgrade their tackle postitions too.
24. Tennessee - Jerod Mayo LB Tennessee -- Going over their roster, the Titans are solid at every position. QB and RB could be improved, but they're committed to Vince Young, and I don't think this is the spot for another RB for them, given two second round picks the previous two years, so it really comes down to solid rotational guys in the linebacking corps or at defensive tackle. With the big nasties up front taking on the blockers, a swift, sure-tackling MLB could really shore up the defense here. Mayo fits the bill.
25. Seattle - Jonathan Stewart RB Oregon -- Some say Shaun Alexander is over the hill. Some say he's never gotten over his foot injury. Some say he misses Hutchinson. I say his biggest problem is that he's gotten soft after his big payday. He reminds me of Roger Dorn from Major League...not wanting to jeopardize his post-playing career by getting hurt. You cannot say that about Stewart. This seems a perfect fit.
26. Jacksonville - Early Doucett WR LSU -- CB depth is probably more pressing, but if the Jags are going to play with the big boys in the AFC, they're going to need to come with something stronger than Reggie Williams, Ernest Wilford, Matt Jones, and Dennis Northcutt.
27. San Diego - Mario Manningham WR Michigan -- Another target for Rivers could really open things up on this offense. He'll battle with Eric Parker for the #3 spot.
28. Dallas - Antoine Cason CB Arizona -- When Dallas wasn't outscoring folks, they weren't winning. That sounds rather obvious, doesn't it. What I mean is that Dallas couldn't stop anybody's passing game, so they put too much pressure on the offense to score every possession. Cason will help.
29. San Francisco - Kentwan Balmer DL North Carolina -- Good options on the board for offensive tackles and 3-4 ends, which the Niners need badly.
30. Green Bay - Chad Henne QB Michigan -- Here's a team with decent starters everywhere. However, nobody knows what's on 4's mind, and Aaron Rodgers might be a UFA before Favre retires. Henne could have a shot to be the next link in the Dickey-Majkowski-Favre line...which is almost as impressive as the Williams-Yastrzemski-Rice-Greenwell-Ramirez line.
31. New York Giants - Dan Connor LB Penn St -- Well, we know they don't need another pass-rushing lineman. They do need some linebacking help however. There is a rumor that this pick could be traded for DeAngelo Hall.
32. Miami - Chris Williams OT Vanderbilt
33. St. Louis - DeSean Jackson WR California
34. Oakland - Reggie Smith DB Oklahoma
35. Kansas City - Tracy Porter CB Indiana
36. New York Jets - Red Bryant NT Texas A&M
37. Atlanta - Andre Woodson QB Kentucky
38. Baltimore - Curtis Lofton LB Oklahoma
39. San Francisco - Andre Caldwell WR Florida
40. New Orleans - Xavier Adibi LB Virginia Tech
41. Buffalo - Phillip Wheeler LB Georgia Tech
42. Denver - Ali Highsmith LB LSU
43. Carolina - Phillip Merling DE Clemson
44. New England (from Chicago) - Do we dare go CB-CB with our first two picks? If Samuel and Gay both leave and aren't adequately replaced, it's possible Charles Godfrey, Branden Flowers, or Patrick Lee is the pick here. Other potential targets could be Beau Bell or Anthony Collins. Quentin Groves has fallen down the boards, and could be a target -- especially if Colvin goes away. Groves always struck me as a malingerer, but perhaps that's the result of playing with dislocated toes. If WR gets wiped out in free agency, Andre Caldwell would look awfully good right here. In other words, I have no idea who this pick would be without the benefit of free agency. So, a quick tally...Samuel leaves, Gay re-signs. Colvin re-structures. Bruschi, Seau, and Harrison stick it out another year. Moss and Gaffney stay. Washington re-signs and Stallworth leaves. Belichick signs 1 veteran ILB and 1 veteran OLB, (Thomas and Pace), along with a vet corner that isn't quite washed up. When the smoke clears, the pick is Anthony Collins OT Kansas
45. Detroit - Pat Sims DT Auburn
46. Cincinnati - James Hardy WR Indiana
47. Minnesota - Earl Bennett WR Vanderbilt
48. Atlanta - Quentin Groves DE Auburn
49. Philadelphia - Carl Nicks OT Nebraska
50. Arizona - Patrick Lee CB Auburn
51. Washington - PROJECTED TRADE -- Washington trades the #51 pick and their 2009 first rounder to Cincinnati for WR Chad Johnson. The Bengals select Gosder Cherilus T Boston College
52. Tampa Bay - Josh Johnson QB San Diego
53. Pittsburgh - Marcus Harrison DL Arkansas
54. Tennessee - Jeremichael Finley TE Texas
55. Seattle - Charles Godfrey CB Iowa
56. Cleveland - Beau Bell LB UNLV
57. Miami - Jeff Otah OT Pittsburgh
58. Jacksonville - DeJuan Tribble CB Boston College
59. Indianapolis - Branden Flowers CB Virginia Tech
60. Green Bay - Heath Benedict T Newberry
61. Dallas - Erin Henderson LB Maryland
62. New England - I think we're in the territory now of Best Available Player, or Player That Could Fill a Specific Need, or PTCFSN, for short. So what are specific needs? Cover linebacker. Kickoff man so we're not exposing Hobbs or Maroney. Perhaps a nickel back type. Backup QB (Joe Flacco is still on the board). Or we look to guys who's contracts will be up after 2008 (Kyle Brady, Rodney Harrison, James Sanders, Sammy Morris) The player at the intersection of all this is Quentin Demps S UTEP
63. New York Giants - Justin King CB Penn St
64. Miami - John Carlson TE Notre Dame
65. St. Louis - Oneil Cousins T UTEP
66. Kansas City - Devin Thomas WR Michigan St
67. New York Jets - Eric Young G Tennessee
68. Atlanta - Martin Rucker TE Missouri
69. New England - We're back....and nothing's changed as far as needs go. Rather than repeating myself, know that the names I'm looking at are Flacco, Forte, Cottam, Hawkins, Avery, Butler, Okam, Schmitt and Lowery. It's not an easy trying to guess which will still be there with our next few picks. I think it's time to swing for the fences and draft a guy with great upside -- Ezra Butler OLB Nevada
70. San Francisco - Chris Johnson RB East Carolina
71. Buffalo - Fred Davis TE USC
72. Buffalo - Latroy Guion DT Florida St
73. Minnesota - Terrell Thomas CB USC
74. Carolina - Steve Slaton RB West Virginia
75. Chicago - Dre Moore DT Maryland
76. Detroit - Chris Ellis DE Virginia Tech
77. Cincinnati - Ray Rice RB Rutgers
78. New Orleans - Joe Flacco QB Delaware
79. Houston - Kevin Smith RB Central Florida
80. Philadelphia - Donnie Avery WR Houston
81. Arizona - Trevor Laws DE Notre Dame
82. Minnesota - Adarius Bowman WR Oklahoma St
83. Tampa Bay - Trae Williams CB South Florida
84. Washington - DeMario Pressley DT North Carolina St
85. Tennessee - Jason Jones DE Eastern Michigan
86. Seattle - Martellus Bennett TE Texas A&M
87. Cleveland - Jamal Charles RB Texas
88. Pittsburgh - Cliff Avril LB Purdue
89. Jacksonville - Lawrence Jackson DE USC
90. Chicago - Jordan Dizon LB Colorado
91. Green Bay - Dustin Keller TE Purdue
92. Dallas - Lavelle Hawkins WR California
93. Indianapolis - Bruce Davis DE UCLA
94. New England - I'm still looking at Forte, Okam, Schmitt, Cottam, and Lowery. Nobody's really necessary here, so every pick from here on out could be traded into next year. I think I'll take Brad Cottam TE Tennessee.
95. New York Giants - Jamar Adams S Michigan
Personal Note:I'm really undecided on how I would feel about this kind of draft....On 1 side you have a dangerous Chad Johnson to add to our arsenal that would cost this years 2nd rounder and 09's 1st rounder....but also adding a very good Kenny Phillips At Safety to replace Sean and in addition drafting a need a DT in DeMario Pressley in the 3rd round, who I know nothing about!
But then we sacrifice next years 1st round pick in doing so for Chad and possibly still not addressing the DE's unless we aquire through Free Agency or the later rounds...and definately not being able to get a DE in next years 1 round selection...
So my thought on this, is this draft is good if only and I mean only we somehow find a diamond in the rough from rounds 5-7 on a DE or we sign a stud in the free agent pool...and or Wilson becomes a monster at RDE...
Or our Offense is so awesome with Chad Johnson added to the mix,that it really doesn't matter too much how good our pass rush is!...And Kenny Phillips is a stud back there with Landry and is picking off everything...
Your thoughts on this?