***Official 2009-2010 Winter Weather Thread***

[Sticksboi05]

Hey Sticks,

Does this thing look like a nice storm for SoMD or are we going to get the Wintry Mix goodness with only a few inches of snow if that?

Southern MD may be in for snow/sleet. Lesser accumulations, still a serious disruption.

[Sticksboi05]

What about western maryland / hagerstown?

All snow.

[Sticksboi05]

odd i am not sure what they are looking at. Bob ryan sucks anyway though

He's a wuss is what he is. Topper Shutt is the best meteorologist in the area hands down.

[TD_washingtonredskins]

odd i am not sure what they are looking at. Bob ryan sucks anyway though

Oh OK...it was Tom Kierin, but I guess they are one in the same. I just thought it must have meant something since they moved the line to the northwest by a pretty significant amount.

I guess we'll wait and see. When should we expect the next status update?

It sounds "old and boring" of me, but I would actually love to squeeze a day of work in to get some things moving on my team.

[wantarace17]

Seems we have the same opinion of weather guys haha

[spjunkies]

Some fella I've never heard of broke into The Price Is Right and said to expect 8"+.

[ixcuincle]

Some fella I've never heard of broke into The Price Is Right and said to expect 8"+.

What you doing watching Price is Right at this hour

Nothing good on TV at this hour

[TD_washingtonredskins]

Would the totals be more/less in Loudoun County?

[spjunkies]

What you doing watching Price is Right at this hour

Nothing good on TV at this hour

I'm not used to being home right now so I'm enjoying the hot models and fat Drew.

[haithman]

Philly getting hammered? I like

[MattFancy]

Whats it look like for baltimore?

[grhqofb5]

Looks like another 12+, if the models verify. Could be blizzard conditions as well, especially up towards Baltimore. Look for warnings to go up this afternoon.

I know everyone is getting annoyed at this point by the snow, but you can't control it so try to enjoy it.

[ixcuincle]

Kornheiser said that Kierin of NBC said it's 3-5 inches

The less snow the better, enough is enough mmmkay

[spjunkies]

J.C. Heywood's wig looks terrible.

[GoSkins561]

http://www.footsforecast.org/2010/02...er-ryan-k.html

KAHUNACAST ZONE

Lead Forecaster Ryan K., Sparrows Point High School
Collaboraors: Mr. Foot, Winterman, Brisko, Dakota

8:45 AM MONDAY 02.08.10 -We prepare once again for a big kahuna event. After collaboration, it seems evident that another significant witner storm will hit the Mid-Atlantic and this time parts of the northeast as well. The storm has showed a bit of a trend, actually quite a decent trend south at H5, which is something people in Maryland need if you want lots of snow. the models at this point in favor of a significant snow are the GFS (up to 20''), the GGEM (18-24''), UKMET, (10-15''), JMA (12-18"), Euro (9-14'') and to some extent the NAM (8-12''). When you consider the models that have been accurate over the past few weeks and how they have done with past storms, it is an easy decision to blend the GGEM/GFS/UKMET. When this is done, it shows that snow accumulations of 10-15'' are possible from BWI and to the north and east including the Baltimore Metropolitan area iteself.


Another factor that could and should be present in the upcoming storm is the wind. Many of the models have shown the low pressure system that develops off the coast deepening very quickly, and as you know a deepening low means that the storm is going to have some winds with it. People in the Baltimore area should expect wind gusts up to 40mph if the storm hugs the coast, and during the heaviest snow, there may be near blizzard conditions. The HPC has mentioned the possibility of this as it is certainly one that is present in the situation.


Finally, something that people need to take attention to is the amount of snow already on the ground. After the final chances at melting today, many will have a snowpack at or above 20'' with 4' snow piles all over the place. That means there will not really be ample places to put the snow as well as another threat: the amount of snow on roofs and awnings. As a precaution, if you are able to, it is suggested you clear some of the snow off of your roofs and awnings even though this storm will have lighter snow compared to the weekend event. For wind forecasts, check the Winter Stormcast Zone.


READY TO GET STOMPED AGAIN?

The great history-making blizzard of 2010 has rolled out to sea. However, although the Kahunaggedon will surely never be forgotten, there is another significant storm on its heels. Our attention turns to the potential for heavy snow Tuesday into Wednesday.


TIMING & IMPACTS
ARRIVAL By 2 PM Tuesday 2.9 across Virginia and central MD.
AMOUNTS 6 or more; if current computer model trends continue, the potential exists for accumulations to reach or exceed 12 inches, based on projected liquid equivalents of approximately 1.0 - 1.5 for Maryland and northern Virginia; ratio of ~16:1.

DISCUSSION The setup will include a low approaching from the plains as the primary, then like the last storm did will pop a secondary (most likely right off Cape Hatteras.) The secondary, already show on the map by HPC, will then ride along the eastern seaboard, possibly bringing more heavy snow to the Mid-Atlantic. Current snowcover is 20-30 over several states, so for some this will be an unwanted storm. For powderhounds, we are having a dream season. Current indications are that there will once again be a sharp cutoff in the snowfall totals, a commonality this season.


MARYLAND forecast Map. The Mid-Atlantic/Northeast map issued in FINAL CALLS Tuesday afternoon. Cities and preliminary amounts are posted in the Winter Stormcast Zone.