President Barack Obama/Vice-President Joe Biden Re-elected to 2nd Term Thread

[Larry]

Have you ever played football?

Have you ever heard a halftime speech that goes "Well, we're kicking their ass,, may as well lay back and coast" ?

You ever watched a Redskins game, this season?

[Bang]

You ever watched a Redskins game, this season?

I should hope we are beating up quite a few bag of oranges in that locker room (reference for older fans!)

~Bang

[brandymac27]

http://abclocal.go.com/wtvd/story?se...cal&id=8867412

NC officials troubled by raucous election activity

RALEIGH -- Reports of raucous campaigning around early voting sites and people purposefully misrepresenting voting rules to residents are worrying North Carolina election officials, who say such activity can't be tolerated and can be criminal.

The State Board of Elections has received many reports of "aggressive electioneering" at in-person voting sites. Candidate and party activists have been entering no-campaign zones - state law requires a 25- to 50-foot buffer at the door of a voting place - to work potential voters and using profanities and other aggressive language with the opposing side, a state board memo says.

There also have been reports of voters being told wrongly they can vote by phone or they can't vote if they have outstanding traffic tickets. Voters also have complained about letters they've received that contain their voting history and those of their neighbors.

"I have heard more complaints, more misinformation and more what I call intimidation or suppression than any time during my tenure," said state elections executive director Gary Bartlett, who's held the job for nearly 20 years. Independent or third-party groups seem responsible for most activities that prompt complaints, which have come from every area of the state, Bartlett said.

In one case, a Wake County poll worker needed medical attention when she tried to protect the buffer zone from a campaigner, according to the memo to local elections boards reminding them of their responsibility to keep voting places unobstructed and free of intimidation. Police can be called in to maintain order, Bartlett wrote.

Cont'd at link

[Bang]

Ah yes,, third world livin'

Ain't it grand?

~Bang

[deejaydana]

Jay Leno last night: "Hurricane Sandy has created more jobs than Obama has."

[RVAbrendan]

Anybody here have a significant other who's political opinions differ from yours? And is it as frustrating to you as it is to me??

(Girlfriend - Romney supporter. Myself...not so much pro Obama than anti-Romney and his economic plans).

[brandymac27]

Ah yes,, third world livin'

Ain't it grand?

~Bang

Funny thing is, driving around here in NC by the polls in the city I live in, I rarely see any 3rd party campaigners. It's mainly either the left or right who you see out there getting their panties in a wad. I wonder if this stuff (3rd party peeps) is happening more in bigger cities like Raleigh, Greensboro, Charlotte, etc because I'm not seeing that here in eastern NC.

[Hersh]

Private hiring jumps in October

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Private sector hiring jumped in October, according to a report released Thursday by payroll processor ADP.

Private employers added 158,000 jobs in the month, ADP (ADP, Fortune 500) said, beating economists' forecasts of 143,000.

The October report is the first to feature ADP's new methodology aimed at further aligning its figures with the final monthly data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The ADP report comes out a day before the government's official monthly job report, though it has not always been a great predictor of what the BLS report will say.

Tomorrow is the last BLS jobs report before the election but this is a good sign for Obama.

[Rdskns2000]

Private hiring jumps in October



Tomorrow is the last BLS jobs report before the election but this is a good sign for Obama.

I think we all know the jobs report number will be at least 7.3%.

[JimboDaMan]

If the report comes out favorable to Obama, how many seconds until right-wing-world focuses on this:

The October report is the first to feature ADP's new methodology...

If they tried to claim Obama was cooking those numbers last time you know for a fact they will claim shenanigans here.

[Hersh]

I think we all know the jobs report number will be at least 7.3%.

joke or serious?

[Stadium-Armory]

He's suggesting the numbers are cooked. Because, of course, the civil servants who work at BLS - normal people like your, me, our friends and neighbors - are engaged in a conspiracy to lie to the American public.

[mjah]

do you think every state poll is of equal value?

the quadriplegic line did make me lol

I don't necessarily believe that all state polls are of equal value. Many of the poll aggregators seem to agree with that, basing their weightings of various polls on the demonstrated reliability of their respective historical results. But I think there is significant peril in throwing out certain polls entirely because they don't agree with our expectations.

It's an imperfect game no matter how you play it, so there is value in having a large number of sites using somewhat varied methods to interpret the numbers. When all of these aggregators with their various methods agree unanimously on something, that catches my eye big time.

As you pointed out earlier, the rubber will truly meet the road Tuesday night (or maybe Wednesday morning).

[BRAVEONAWARPATH]

http://news.yahoo.com/nate-silver-jo...113615600.html

Nate Silver to Joe Scarborough: Wanna Bet?

Political polling guru Nate Silver is so confident in his statistical models that he just offered to bet MSNBC's Joe Scarborough $1,000 that Barack Obama will win re-election. Scarborough, you may recall, criticized Silver's math earlier this week, saying that "Anybody that thinks that this race is anything but a tossup right now is such an ideologue ... they're jokes." He was specifically talking about Silver's FiveThirtyEight website, which shows Mitt Romney with just a 1-in-4 chance of becoming president.

Silver has spent the week firing back, criticizing political pundits for not understanding how odds and probability work and aggressively defending his method against critics. As the week has progressed, his model has only shown Obama's chances of winning increasing, which has not coincidentally increased Silver's confidence in the outcome. (As of this morning, Five Thirty Eight gives Obama a 79 percent chance of winning, with a final Electoral College total over 300.)

The back-and-forth swipes all came to head today with this tweet, with Silver offering a friendly $1,000 wager on Tuesday's result, with the winnings going to charity.
.

@joenbc: If you think it's a toss-up, let's bet. If Obama wins, you donate $1,000 to the American Red Cross. If Romney wins, I do. Deal?
— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) November 1, 2012

After that Politico story claiming Silver was putting his reputation on the line with this election,
he's making it clear that he's willing to put more on the line than that. And he's also clearly fed up with pundits who aren't willing to put anything on the line to back up their numerous predictions.

Scarborough was not on the set of his MSNBC show this morning and has yet to respond, but he already has one wager riding on Tuesday's vote. Just yesterday, he agreed to a bet with Obama campaign adviser David Axelrod over their facial hair. (Axelrod will shave his mustache if Obama loses Michigan, Minnesota, or Pennsylvania. Scarborough will grow one if Romney loses Florida or North Carolina.) Will Joe put his money where his mouth—and mustache—is?

[Bang]

Anybody that thinks that this race is anything but a tossup right now...

All I hear is..
"Don't change that channel folks! We'll be right back after a word from our many fine sponsors."

~Bang