Steve you got a crystal ball over there? Cause you seem to know what's going to happen before it even does. You might as well play the lotto too.My thoughts on Hank below.
I can. I criticized the move at the time. It was a bad bet and a clear win now move when, even if we had gotten an old franchise QB, the roster wasn't ready to compete in the slightest. No trading first or second round picks for players over 30. That needs to be a rule with absolutely no exceptions. The risk is never worth it.
This is where I think you, and the fan base in general, vastly overestimate our talent.
I think Hank, Helu, Gomes, Jenkins, Royster, Kerrigan, Hurt, etc. even RGIII, have all thus far proven to be exactly who we thought they were in college.
In the case of RGIII and Kerrigan, that's a good thing. RGIII was the best player in CFB last season and Kerrigan was an overachieving turnover & sack machine, but we knew all along he lacked the sort of speed and agility of an elite edge rusher. We saw it in college.
I think our fan base has often hoped many of our draft picks would be "gems" developing qualities they abjectly lacked at the college level. They base their optimism on training camp snapshots with zero perspective and speculation sourced from the coaches' pressers who have an agenda/half of the statements they make to the media are utter horse****. So far as we've seen, in 9/10 cases, we've gotten exactly who we drafted. Consider what these guys were in college:
Gomes - nickel/situational swing DB who wasn't good enough to start for Nebraska but was a nifty reserve. Sound familiar?
Hank - talented, big framed, productive receiver but with truly terrible hands.
Jenkins - good pure run stuffer with next to no value against the pass.
Hurt - unimpressive but useful enough reserve linemen who is just good enough to make himself hard to cut.
White - marginal pass rusher who played with marginal contribution in the shadows of superior talent.
Royster - unimpressive yet productive back. Good at several things, great at none.
Helu - talented big play back yet made of glass.
A Robinson - a one dimensional small school receiver whose only attribute is speed.
K Robinson - just a guy who was good enough to steadily do his job in Texas' defense, surrounded by much bigger talent, instinctual but unspectacular and wholly average
Riley - good, not great player on a great defense who was maybe an average to slightly above average starting talent with the ability to flash every now and then.
Paul - great athlete, great body, no actual well developed positional skills.
We're getting exactly what we pay for. The fan base and the staff need to be honest with themselves about our personnel. These guys are who they have always been in--we are not regularly stumbling upon late blooming diamonds in the rough set to grow exponentially when they reach the NFL. We are not the cleverest guys in the room. The only time we've gotten those gems were Shanny's pet positions of HB and TE and LT and QB.
We pass on true athletic upside at almost all of our picks, thus we should not be surprised when the guys we pick are exactly who we saw in college. The two times we did pick elite athleticism, RGIII and Trent, we got studs. And in Trent's case, he is outperforming his college level somewhat.
Long story short, Jenkins will never be a disruptive force like people hoped, Kerrigan will never be among the very best pass rushers of the league, and Hank will never have good hands--maybe not even decent hands. Those are things those guys have never been/had. They never will. Accept it folks. And as far as Hank goes, to me a WR that can't catch the ball is as useful as a safety or a linebacker that can't tackle. It's a fundamental weakness ruining his utility.
Brown is cooked man. He hasn't been healthy in almost five years. His career is over. He'll be a cap casualty next season.
Keenan is just a guy. He was the fourth or fifth best player on his defense in college, a defense that, while good, was no Alabama or LSU. He was just a guy in college and that's what he'll be in the NFL. We will not be able to truly replace Fletch with any of the guys we have now. Best we can realistically hope for and expect is competent play.