Look for Israel to attack Iran in the weeks leading up to the Presidential Election.
http://www.timesofisrael.com/sparks-...-and-us-envoy/
Originally Posted by The Times of Israel
Look for Israel to attack Iran in the weeks leading up to the Presidential Election.
http://www.timesofisrael.com/sparks-...-and-us-envoy/
Originally Posted by The Times of Israel
Last edited by JMS; August-31st-2012 at 12:06 PM.
A couple of updates on the nuclear situation:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...976060708.html
Enrichment Capacity Seen to Double at Site
Tehran has doubled its capacity to produce higher-enriched uranium at an underground facility seen as impervious to attack, and continues to block international inspectors from another suspect site, according to the United Nations nuclear watchdog.
The International Atomic Energy Agency, in its quarterly report Thursday on Iran's nuclear program, accused Iran's government of seeking to cleanse the military site south of Tehran, known as Parchin, to prevent the agency from verifying that it wasn't used for atomic-weapons development.
The agency also said it had obtained additional information over the past year that Iran conducted weapons research after 2003, the year that U.S. intelligence agencies believe Tehran halted a structured weapons program.
The report reflects the inspection agency's rising alarm over Tehran's nuclear activities and its refusal to cooperate with inspectors or adhere to international demands.
On Wednesday, the IAEA said it was establishing a special task force on Iran's nuclear program, signaling its growing unease.
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/orig...medium=twitter
Report on Iran Nuclear Program: Situation Not Yet Hopeless
As predicted, the latest report on Irans nuclear program by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has contributed to a push in Israel and parts of the US for preventive military action. Since May, Iran has installed more than a thousand new centrifuges in the underground facility at Fordow, doubling the number there since the last IAEA report in May.
In a pre-emptive move of their own, White House officials gave their own spin to the latest developments several days before the IAEA released the report. While not underplaying their concern over Irans continued defiance, the Obama team noted that the new numbers are not a "game changer." The new centrifuges are not (yet) being used for enrichment and the stockpile of 20% enriched uranium has not grown since May because half of it has been converted to an oxide form for use in fuel plates.
The danger posed by Irans nuclear program is heightening incrementally: The numbers grow arithmetically, not by orders of magnitude. In response to those advocating military action, one must ask how it is justifiable to launch a war, with all the predictable costs, over a 10% increase in centrifuge machines.
A proportionate response would be to incrementally increase the sanctions pressure on Iran. The EU, for example, is likely to tighten its sanctions against the Iran Central Bank, which to date have been partial. Additional companies associated with the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines may be subject to an asset freeze. The US also will likely impose sanctions on more Iranian institutions, adding to the designations announced on July 31.
Why Iran is not operating the newly installed centrifuges is uncertain. Technical difficulties offer one possibility. Iran may also be seeking to calibrate the tempo of its enrichment activity so as not to goad its antagonists. Tehran has proven to be adept at such salami-slicing tactics, gradually increasing the size of its enrichment program to the point where it now has a stockpile of low-enriched uranium sufficient for at least four weapons (some say more than six) if further enriched.
Last edited by visionary; August-31st-2012 at 12:17 PM.
Every couple weeks a report of Israel's imminent attack on Iran pops up somewhere in the media. The same thing can be said for Iran's nuclear program which seems to be moments away from completion, every other month.
Wait, why isn't this bomb pointy? If it's round at the top, how do we know it won't bounce back up when it hits the ground and hit us?
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"It is our true policy to steer clear of entangling alliances with any portion of the foreign world. The great rule of conduct for us in regard to foreign nations is, in extending our commercial relations, to have with them as little political connection as possible." George Washington.
"Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations,entangling alliances with none." Thomas Jefferson.
He says "instead of effectively pressuring". What specific additional steps would Netanyahu like the USA (or the rest of the World) to do short of bombing Iran?
Get out of the way, clear a corridor for Israeli flight operations, maybe ship over more missiles...
---------- Post added August-31st-2012 at 02:23 PM ----------
It will happen around the US elections. Israel has a history of taking actions they know we don't want, when our leadership is politically most preoccupied.
http://thehill.com/video/events/2462...ng-iran-strike
Intel chairman: 'No doubt in my mind' Israel considering US election when weighing Iran strike
By Niall Stanage - 08/28/12 06:06 PM ET
TAMPA, Fla. House Intelligence Committee Chairman Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) on Tuesday said he believes the Israeli government is likely to wait until after the U.S. election to take military action against Iran.
There was no doubt in my mind, Rogers said, that the U.S. election cycle was part of the Israelis calculations after a recent trip where he met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and other officials.
The government of Iran says it is seeking to develop nuclear technology for peaceful purposes, but the claim is met with deep skepticism by the United States and other members of the international community.
War in Gaza, December 27, 2008 January 18, 2009
Obama takes office January 20, 2009
Last edited by JMS; August-31st-2012 at 01:42 PM.
Get out of the way? Aside from flying the planes themselves, America is currently getting impeding the Israeli mission how? Unless the CIA is secretly manning Iranian air defenses.
Clear a corridor? Israel would need to fly over Jordan, Saudi Arabia and or Iraq. It's the USA that is denying Israel permission to do this?
Buy the missiles somewhere else or build them yourself Israel. You've stolen enough technology over the years to do this.![]()
Israel would have to fly 1000 miles across Maybe Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and into Iran... Jordan, Saudi, and Iraq are all using US air defense systems.... That Path is about 1000 miles. A different Path would be over water up the Persian Gulf, that path is even longer. Both path's would require air refueling capabilities and likely munitions which Israel doesn't have and we would have to provide.
If they decided to go missiles along and get into a slug fest with Iran, then Israel would need the missiles and assurances those missiles wouldn't stop coming during the shoot out.
Yes, unless you know someone else who would be willing to give Israel the transponder codes so they aren't identified as an enemy when they pass through US allies using US radar feeding to US command and control centers in Jordan, Saudi, and Iraq. Or someone else who has access to stealth capabilities, or even knows how to jam those US installations. Hell wikileaks had the US ambassador negotiation with the Saudi's for Israeli fly over rights.
Israel would need access to pretty sophisticated micro munitions to hit the Iranian bunkers and do damage with fighter planes. It's not like Israel has strategic bombers to call on and or access to US intermediate range missiles.
We don't generally give Israel enough munitions to take action independent of US approval. Any type of sustained action requires us arms transfers.
Gaza Invasion of December 27, 2008 – January 18, 2009
Lebanon Invasion 12 July – 14 August 2006Unusually large Arms Shipments to Israel Jan 11 2009
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.p...t=va&aid=11743
During the 2006 Lebanon War, the United States provided a major resupply of jet fuel and precision-guided munition to replenish depleted Israeli stocks
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel%...tary_relationsU.S. Speeds Up Bomb Delivery for the Israelis
July 22, 2006
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/22/wo...pagewanted=all
Last edited by JMS; August-31st-2012 at 02:19 PM.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/...87U0T320120831
Russia says Iran's nuclear power plant fully operational
Iran's first atomic power plant, a symbol of what the Islamic Republic says is its peaceful nuclear ambition, is now operating at full capacity, Russia's state nuclear corporation Rosatom said on Friday.
The Russian-built 1,000-megawatt reactor near the Gulf city of Bushehr, was plugged into Iran's national grid last September, ending years of delays and suspicions that Moscow was using the project as a diplomatic lever.
Oil-rich Iran says electricity generation is the main motivation for nuclear work that its adversaries say is really aimed at getting atomic weapons capability.
However, the Bushehr plant is not considered a major proliferation threat by nuclear inspectors whose concern is focused on sites where Iran enriches nuclear fuel, in defiance of U.N. Security Council resolutions demanding it stop.
Bushehr was started by Germany's Siemens before the 1979 Islamic Revolution and was taken over by Russian engineers in the 1990s.
So by "effectively pressuring" Netanyahu actually means "do everything for us apart from piloting the ****ing plane during the attack"?
It would help if he was clearer on that, or we told him no to that specific request, because claiming that there is some other "effective pressure" we could be applying plays into the Right's bull****.![]()
Yes it means enabling them, It means doing what is necessary to allow Israel to strike, and likely continue to strike as it is estimated such an attack would take quite a while to sufficiently degrade Iran's capabilities. US military estimated it would take us months using bases right on Iran's boarders with assets which Israel does not possess. Ultimately we (Bush Jr) estimated such action wouldn't sufficiently degrade Iran's capabilities beyond a few years. Israel 1000 miles away would be a much harder job.
Why is that? I think the facts are Obama has curbed Israel's intentions to act against Iran, and by Romney's own words he would not.
Last edited by JMS; August-31st-2012 at 02:33 PM.
I don't think that's the general view. I think there most people think there's a difference between applying more "effective pressure" against Iran's nuclear enrichment program and ... active and direct military support of another nation in a committing an act of war against Iran.
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