Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

[BRAVEONAWARPATH]

OK looks close but I think Romney will pull it out. Of the toss-ups he'll win Colorado, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia by 5-6 points. He'll win New Hamphsire and Iowa by 3-4 points, he'll win Ohio by 2-3 points, Wisconsin by 1-2 points, and Pennsylvania by a point or less. Big surprise Michigan will be a squeaker and fall into Mitts column.

So you think Romney will win EVERY swing state AND steal PA and MI?

[Larry]

I predict that, after the election, the same partisans will still be making the same arguments.

[Unforgiven]

OK looks close but I think Romney will pull it out. Of the toss-ups he'll win Colorado, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia by 5-6 points. He'll win New Hamphsire and Iowa by 3-4 points, he'll win Ohio by 2-3 points, Wisconsin by 1-2 points, and Pennsylvania by a point or less. Big surprise Michigan will be a squeaker and fall into Mitts column.

Not real sure if you're serious but if you are....you gotta step outside of the conservative bubble every now and then and get some fresh air. I know it's nice and cozy and they tell you what you want to hear but that's a pretty unrealistic prediction.

Edit : I know this is a non-confrontational thread....but c'mon.

If you end up being right though, feel free to quote me and say "neener neener!"

[nonniey]

I predict that, after the election, the same partisans will still be making the same arguments.

I take it you include yourself in that assessment?

---------- Post added November-6th-2012 at 12:51 AM ----------

So you think Romney will win EVERY swing state AND steal PA and MI?

He won't win Nevada.

[BRAVEONAWARPATH]

Deleted post.

[Heisenberg]

Not sure what kind of blind faith you have to think that Romney has any chance of winning PA and MI.

Divine intervention, I guess?

[brandymac27]

Now Nate Silver has Florida leaning Obama?? If that's the case, this one is pretty much over. Florida and Ohio would pretty much seal it for Obama.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Yep, I read that earlier. May not be as close as some suspected.

[MattFancy]

Now Nate Silver has Florida leaning Obama?? If that's the case, this one is pretty much over. Florida and Ohio would pretty much seal it for Obama.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[brandymac27]

Now Nate Silver has Florida leaning Obama?? If that's the case, this one is pretty much over. Florida and Ohio would pretty much seal it for Obama.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Yep, I read that earlier. May not be as close as some suspected.

[Bliz]

OK looks close but I think Romney will pull it out. Of the toss-ups he'll win Colorado, Florida, North Carolina and Virginia by 5-6 points. He'll win New Hamphsire and Iowa by 3-4 points, he'll win Ohio by 2-3 points, Wisconsin by 1-2 points, and Pennsylvania by a point or less. Big surprise Michigan will be a squeaker and fall into Mitts column.

Guess we'll find out. I know a lot of people are giving you crap for this, but I for one am glad to see you are standing behind your assertions regarding systemic bias in the polls and not backing down from it. If you're right about that then we may get a Romney electoral landslide as you predict. It's not what I expect, but what the hell do I know?

[RansomthePasserby]

My gut tells me Obama will win this.

[Rdskns2000]

My final 2012 Election predictions. Clink on link to see my Electorial map.

http://www.270towin.com/2012_electio...php?mapid=bran


I see Obama getting 281 EVs and Romney getting 257 EVs.
I do think that Romney will win the Popular Vote by a small margin.
I think the election will go into overtime and will not be settled until 11/17 when Ohio's provisional ballots will be counted. The race will come down to Ohio. Romney will not win it and the oustanding ballots that will be counted will be in Obama's favor.

I also predict the Dems will increase their numbers by 2 in the Senate, winning seats in Massachusetts and Indiana. So it will be 55-45- Dems. I think the Dems pick up 5-10 seats in the House.

Woo Hoo- more of the same: Gridlock as the country slowly rots away. Don't expect any of the upcoming problems to be solved. They will do a temp solution to pass it to the next congress but the sides will be more disagreeable after the election and nothing will happen.

I fully expect impeachment hearings on Benghazi and Fast and Furious sometime next year.

[aREDSKIN]

Now Nate Silver has Florida leaning Obama?? If that's the case, this one is pretty much over. Florida and Ohio would pretty much seal it for Obama.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

I'll predict Nate silver is wrong on both FL & OH. That's all I'll say.

[DCranon21]

I'll predict Nate silver is wrong on both FL & OH. That's all I'll say.

He's not wrong about Ohio. He's been pretty accurate this far. Also, he has Florida as an Obama lean. It's not much, but about a 52% chance.

[Bliz]

I'll predict Nate silver is wrong on both FL & OH. That's all I'll say.

What does that mean, to be "wrong" about Florida, when his projection is Obama has a 52% chance of winning the state? In other words what he's saying is it is extraordinarily close, and could go either way. So you think it's going to be a clear and convincing victory for one side?