Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

[skinsmarydu]

I think Obama squeaks a win in VA.

me too...the northern part (more heavily populated than the southern part) is almost definitely his.

[Heisenberg]

Just to my scattered attention, and it being so early, it seems to be leaning Romney's way, narrowly

CNN has been talking as if the exit polls they can't reveal yet don't seem like good news from Romney.

However, exit polls aren't very reliable IIRC.

[brandymac27]

me too...the northern part (more heavily populated than the southern part) is almost definitely his.

That's what I'm thinking too! I hope he pulls out another win here in NC too

[mistertim]

That was a hell of a hack piece by Peggy Noonan. No actual substantive reasoning or fact based analysis. "Ignore the massive amounts of polling that has been pretty self-consistent and just look at Mitt! He looks fresh and happy and I just feel good! Can't you feel it? It just totally feels like Romney is going to win. Obama just looks like he is losing and he knows it! Yeah!!!"

[Rdskns2000]

Anybody want to predict Virginia? CNN shows it closing at 7:00, and they say it's a battleground. (Me, I thought it was red, myself.)

Well, I've already said Romney; so I am sticking with that. I think George Allen will not get a second shot at the Senate.

[Heisenberg]

I'm predicting Virginia goes blue again.

Also, these exit polls don't include early voting, correct? If that's the case, then they are essentially worthless.

[twa]

this is the first election I did not have to wait in a line(besides behind my squaw )
I live in a very blue district and the only ones out front were Reps...course nobody sane expects O to win Texas.

going from early reports I think a winner will be called tonight(and fought over tomorrow)

[skinsmarydu]

That's what I'm thinking too! I hope he pulls out another win here in NC too

The household is divided on that, he says no way, I think it's Barack's.

[Prosperity]

Florida is going Blue, Miami Dade is the only county still mostly incomplete, and it's the biggest and bluest county in FL

[Kilmer17]

It depends on how many votes are left in Miami Dade. Santa Rosa has 0 reporting, and thats a 100k vote with about 0-30 Romney split I think youre right. But it's still a tad early.

[zoony]

Ooooooh, Karl rove just showed up on fox. I didn't think it was possible, but his jowls have actually gotten bigger. It's like someone took a small face and placed it on top of a larger face.

And whats with he mullet karl? Lol

[Popeman38]

With VA and FL likely going blue again, my prediction is foiled. Drat. Close to being almost correct.

[AsburySkinsFan]

My prediction 330-203 Obama
Whew just under the wire.

[DjTj]

I think this election will have a profound affect on how polls are used and abused going forward.

The result tonight really reinforced the accuracy of polling. There is going to be an even greater investment in polling in future elections, and conspiracy theories about about polls are going to be pushed to the fringe.

Nate Silver is the only person that might be a bigger winner than Obama tonight. He just solidified a career as the Mel Kiper of the Electoral College.

[Jumbo]

I just can't get over a take I have, that the way people used those polls in here and "out there" has been an impressive example of confirmation bias at work, and should actually be featured in writings (or added to existing research) on the matter.