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Thread: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

  1. #136
    The Rookie Bliz's Avatar
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    Quote Originally Posted by Rdskns2000 View Post
    For those wanting Obama to win you will love CNBC's Jim Kramer's prediction. He has Obama winning 440 to 98.
    LOL. Wow. Was he joking?

    That's even worse than http://unskewedpolls.com/ They have Romney at 359 to 179. My favorite prediction of theirs is Oregon going for Romney, 51-46.
    Last edited by Bliz; November-5th-2012 at 11:26 AM.
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  2. #137
    In the Muck Kilmer17's Avatar
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    http://www.nationalreview.com/articl...ion-john-fund#


    Cincinnati, Ohio — If the presidential election goes into “overtime” — if no winner is known on Wednesday morning after the election — the culprits may be procrastinating absentee voters in Ohio. If it goes on beyond that with no decision, it may be due to lawyers from both parties’ fighting trench warfare over individual ballots in a bloody recount. It could easily happen in other states, but the danger of an “overtime” election is perhaps greatest in Ohio.

    I stand by my prediction. Tomorrow will be an early night, because we wont know for DAYS who has won.
    "Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things you didn't do than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe harbour. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore.Dream. Discover"
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  3. #138
    The Waterboy
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    I disagree with those that think it will be a long night, or a long few days, before we know a winner. While some states may be close, like Florida or Colorado, I think Obama will have won enough other states by at least 2-3 points that it won't matter.

  4. #139
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    Quote Originally Posted by Kilmer17 View Post
    I stand by my prediction. Tomorrow will be an early night, because we wont know for DAYS who has won.
    ...Unless Obama wins either CO or VA, or both, in which case it will already be over regardless of what OH looks like.

    I'm ignoring things that look frankly unlikely IMO, like Romney winning Iowa/NH or Obama winning Florida (though Obama is less than half a point behind down there). Obama can win just one of CO/OH/VA and the election is basically over.

  5. #140

    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    I'm betting foxnews has highest rating
    And msnbc will be the greatest/craziest
    With CNN delving down into counties from the Hubble
    Swiping around like the minority report

  6. #141

    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    I for one, just hope there is a clear winner, either way. And I really hope people stop trying to pass last minute laws to change who can and cannot vote.
    What would A World Without Lawyers be like?

  7. #142
    The Pro Bowlers MattFancy's Avatar
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    I think Obama ends up with 280+. Seems like Iowa and NH are going his way, so if he gets Ohio, it's over. It'll definitely be closer than in 2008, but I believe Obama still comes out on top.

  8. #143
    The Dirtbags Heisenberg's Avatar
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    Quote Originally Posted by MattFancy View Post
    I think Obama ends up with 280+. Seems like Iowa and NH are going his way, so if he gets Ohio, it's over. It'll definitely be closer than in 2008, but I believe Obama still comes out on top.
    It's looking like VA may go blue again as well.
    RIP Royallypwned

  9. #144
    The Pro Bowlers MattFancy's Avatar
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    Quote Originally Posted by Heisenberg View Post
    It's looking like VA may go blue again as well.
    So if he gets NH, VA, and IA would that get him to 270?

  10. #145

    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    Quote Originally Posted by MattFancy View Post
    So if he gets NH, VA, and IA would that get him to 270?
    Not quite.

    If he were to get VA, NH, IA, NV and WI then he wins without Ohio (or Colorado).

    http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...ite-house.html

    That's a good website to test out combinations with.

  11. #146
    The Run Stopper
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    Quote Originally Posted by MattFancy View Post
    So if he gets NH, VA, and IA would that get him to 270?
    Well, he would still need Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania (or some other combination like that) but if he gets Iowa and Virginia, chances are he is getting those states too.
    "The Internet is like a herd of performing elephants with diarrhea: massive, difficult to redirect, awe-inspiring, entertaining, and a source of mind-boggling amounts of excrement when you least expect it" - I wish I had said this.

  12. #147
    The Pro Bowlers MattFancy's Avatar
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    Quote Originally Posted by Unforgiven View Post
    Not quite.

    If he were to get VA, NH, IA, NV and WI then he wins without Ohio (or Colorado).

    http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...ite-house.html

    That's a good website to test out combinations with.
    Quote Originally Posted by Predicto View Post
    Well, he would still need Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania (or some other combination like that) but if he gets Iowa and Virginia, chances are he is getting those states too.
    Well going by the FiveThirtyEight blog, it seems like Obama has a good chance in all the toss up states except Florida and NC.

  13. #148
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    Quote Originally Posted by MattFancy View Post
    Well going by the FiveThirtyEight blog, it seems like Obama has a good chance in all the toss up states except Florida and NC.
    According to Nate Silver, Florida might not be in the bag for Romney. NC I say will go to Romney, but Florida is at a 55% chance of him winning the state. I bet Florida will go down to the wire.

  14. #149
    The Dirtbags Heisenberg's Avatar
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    Anyone want to offer up predictions on what time the first major news network declares a victory?
    RIP Royallypwned

  15. #150
    In the Muck Kilmer17's Avatar
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    Default Re: Kilmer17s non confrontational election prediction-

    Quote Originally Posted by Heisenberg View Post
    Anyone want to offer up predictions on what time the first major news network declares a victory?
    I have-

    Nov 18th or later.
    "Twenty years from now you will be more disappointed by the things you didn't do than by the ones you did do. So throw off the bowlines. Sail away from the safe harbour. Catch the trade winds in your sails. Explore.Dream. Discover"
    -- MARK TWAIN

    " It is not our job to protect the people from the consequences of their political choices"- Chief Justice John Roberts

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