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Thread: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

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    Default Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    In November, 2010, a member contacted me by PM and asked for my thoughts on how I'd go about building our roster. I started a five-page thread in response entitled "Planning for a Redskins Dynasty." I have linked it at the bottom of this page if you would like to review it.

    One of my principles was that we should not use free agents as gap fillers until we had 11 core players. I defined core players as: starters on the offense or defense with at least average ability (proven not potential), who can be expected to be here, under contract, in three years.

    I asked posters to help me identify our core players. We started by identifying those that Mike Shanahan had inherited:

    Core Players selected by the group who were on the roster prior to Jan, 2010 (currently contributing in bold)

    Cooley
    Orakpo
    D. Hall
    Landry
    Armstrong

    (Fred Davis wasn't a starter)

    Core Players selected by the group November, 2010

    Cooley
    Orakpo
    D.Hall
    Landry
    T.Williams
    Alexander
    Armstrong

    In 2010, we identified players with the potential to emerge as Core Players in 2011: Barnes, Lichtensteiger, Riley, Kerrigan, Jenkins, Hankerson, Helu. Out of the seven, Ryan Kerrigan, our first round pick and Perry Riley have made the grade.

    Currently, our core players would be:

    Griffin
    Morris
    Kerrigan
    Riley
    Bowen
    T.Williams


    Possible (If they return to full health):

    Orakpo
    Garcon
    Davis


    Unless we wear burgundy glasses, it's easy to see that the Shanahan roster-building program isn't on a dynasty pace. It seems to me that he's doing a much better job of finding free agent gap fillers than Vinny did (Cofield, J.Wilson and Bowen*). We might have more depth, but we aren't adding quality starters fast enough to do anything more than maintain the core level that
    Mike inherited. [*Bowen and Riley were added to my list of core players as a compromise]

    We now have the important QB position filled, but the cost was high. That cost makes it less likely we can add to the core in 2013 and 2014.

    http://www.extremeskins.com/showthre...-Dynasty/page4
    Last edited by Oldfan; November-1st-2012 at 01:27 PM.

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    The Run Stopper
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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    Not a bad post from oldfan.

    Griffin
    Morris
    Kerrigan
    T.Williams

    I think you should add Perry Riley to that fold. He's been at least average. But an interesting thread nonetheless.

    That said, playing Devil's Advocate, can you give me 11 players on the Giants using the same definition?

    My point is, that this is a league that a team with the 70% solution could likely win a Super Bowl (and has in the past). Players get injured, etc... see Green Bay and the NYG for recent success in that aspect. You just need that 70% in the right spots.

    EDIT: Also, in terms of success (not necissarily Super Bowl Champsionship success) but the Patriots also have a pretty high turnover.
    Last edited by DC9; October-31st-2012 at 09:13 AM.
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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    I would add Orakpo and Perry Riley to your list. I would add a few potentials as well, namely Garcon, Hankerson and Young. Fred Davis is iffy. He's a talent but he's got baggage.

    Overall though I get your point, and I agree that a rebuilding team like ours should be building through the draft and not free agency. I think given that Shanahan's first real draft was 2011 it might be a little early to decide whether or not we've found any more 'core' players from that class, or from 2012. Sometimes players develop into starters.

    Unfortunately we wasted 2010 trading away picks and signing old players to fill gaps that were much bigger than the coaching staff imagined, so in my estimation we are a year behind where we should be. Given that, I think this team looks like a team would if it were in year two of a total rebuild. I also agree that the picks we gave up for Griffin are gonna hurt. It remains to be seen if Shanahan and Allen will be able to make up for that with some shrewd late-round drafting. That said, Griffin is turning out to be a hell of a QB.
    Last edited by Henry; October-31st-2012 at 09:11 AM.
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    Ring of Fame KDawg's Avatar
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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    I know this is missing the point of the entire thread (but I promise I didn't miss it) but why is everyone so down on Rak all of a sudden? Only reasonable explanation is that this pec injury is pretty bad and people are unsure if he can come back...

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    The Run Stopper
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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    Quote Originally Posted by KDawg View Post
    I know this is missing the point of the entire thread (but I promise I didn't miss it) but why is everyone so down on Rak all of a sudden? Only reasonable explanation is that this pec injury is pretty bad and people are unsure if he can come back...
    I'm not leaving his name out because of the injury, I am leaving his name out because oldfan said "a player that will be here in three years" and that would be an assumption as he isn't under contract and there are question marks there. I'd have Rak on my list as well otherwise.
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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    RG3
    T Williams
    Morris
    Garcon
    Kerrigan
    Davis
    Riley
    Young
    Bowen
    -and probably Morgan...

    Everyone else is pretty much expendable, IMO.
    Last edited by authentic; October-31st-2012 at 09:15 AM.

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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    Quote Originally Posted by DC9 View Post

    That said, playing Devil's Advocate, can you give me 11 players on the Giants using the same definition?
    Eli Manning, Hakeem Nicks, Victor Cruz, Will Beaty, Justin Tuck, JPP, Kenny Phillips, Antrel Rolle, Terrell Thomas (IR), Cory Webster(on the verge as he is 30 now), Linval Joseph.

    There are plenty of other fringe guys like Osi Umenyiora depending on if he hangs around, Mathias Kiwanuaka, David Wilson is probably a reasonable expectation. Stevie Brown looks like he could be a starting safety there.

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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    Quote Originally Posted by KDawg View Post
    I know this is missing the point of the entire thread (but I promise I didn't miss it) but why is everyone so down on Rak all of a sudden? Only reasonable explanation is that this pec injury is pretty bad and people are unsure if he can come back...
    Yeah man...everybody just pulled a straight John Cena crowd turn on him and Kerrigan

    I don't get it
    "Watching RG3 today is like watching Jordan vs. the Blazers years ago. Waiting for him to shrug his shoulders as he runs by cameras." - John Keim, November 22, 2012. Thanksgiving at Dallas

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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    Quote Originally Posted by KDawg View Post
    I know this is missing the point of the entire thread (but I promise I didn't miss it) but why is everyone so down on Rak all of a sudden? Only reasonable explanation is that this pec injury is pretty bad and people are unsure if he can come back...
    from my perspective Rak's stock has risen since the immediate drop off in QB pressures since his injury. But his peck injury is concerning. We'll see how he bounces back next season.

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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    Quote Originally Posted by Henry View Post
    I would add Orakpo and Perry Riley to your list. I would add a few potentials as well, namely Garcon, Hankerson and Young. Fred Davis is iffy. He's a talent but he's got baggage.
    I didn't add Orakpo because his surgery makes a return to full strength questionable. I didn't add Riley because I don't yet consider him as an average LB. I'm striving to be more realistic than we did in compiling similar lists. However, if others feel as you do, I'll add them.

    Overall though I get your point, and I agree that a rebuilding team like ours should be building through the draft and not free agency. I think given that Shanahan's first real draft was 2011 it might be a little early to decide whether or not we've found any more 'core' players from that class, or from 2012. Sometimes players develop into starters.
    Granted.

    Unfortunately we wasted 2010 trading away picks and signing old players to fill gaps that were much bigger than the coaching staff imagined, so in my estimation we are a year behind where we should be. Given that, I think this team looks like a team would if it were in year two of a total rebuild.
    I think you are being a little generous, but...

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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    its my opinion a true rebuilding of a franchise does not start happening until you have a franchise qb. This to me is the first year of the rebuild project. You could count last year, but year 1 of shanny was still a try to win now year with the acquistion of McNabb.

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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    its also my opinion that Rak might be done, the position he plays and the injury he sustained is a very bad one. I forsee him having issues every year now with the peck injury and wouldnt be surprised if he tears it again next year.

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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    Quote Originally Posted by Laxpunk2006 View Post
    Eli Manning, Hakeem Nicks, Victor Cruz, Will Beaty, Justin Tuck, JPP, Kenny Phillips, Antrel Rolle, Terrell Thomas (IR), Cory Webster(on the verge as he is 30 now), Linval Joseph.

    There are plenty of other fringe guys like Osi Umenyiora depending on if he hangs around, Mathias Kiwanuaka, David Wilson is probably a reasonable expectation. Stevie Brown looks like he could be a starting safety there.
    If he isn't playing right now (IR) then he isn't playing average ball is he? I'd also argue Kenny Phillips and Antrel Rolle (who'd obviously start on this team) but have been in and out of the lineup because of performance in recent years.

    And Tuck is also getting up there in age and Kiwanuaka hasn't been the best LB or Pass rusher recently.
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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    Robert Griffin III
    Alfred Morris
    Ryan Kerrigan
    Trent Williams
    Brian Orakpo
    Pierre Garcon
    Fred Davis



    My list of current core players.

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    Default Re: Realistically, how is Mike doing on building the roster?

    Quote Originally Posted by orlskinsfan View Post
    its my opinion a true rebuilding of a franchise does not start happening until you have a franchise qb. This to me is the first year of the rebuild project. You could count last year, but year 1 of shanny was still a try to win now year with the acquistion of McNabb.
    I think a rebuild adds talent when the opportunity to add talent arises.

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