First of all, I know I spelled paloffs wrong in the thread title, my bad
Second, please note that I start this thread every year
Third, (and this is always really humorous) I only start this thread to discuss the facts. No, I do not believe we are playoff contenders, and, yes I agree its an absurd longshot. However, for those interested, I'll post the facts/scenarios until they no longer exist.
Even having said that, I am almost positive someone will reply "playoffs? We can't even win a game."
So, here goes....
I think it is safe to concede 4 playoff spots:
Bears/Packers- North/Top wild card
I won't concede the East to the Giants quite yet considering the Cowboys have a soft schedule, although I'm obviously still leaning heavily towards New York to win the division.
But one of those two teams is certainly likely to finish ahead of us.
So, with one spot open, the teams to watch would be:
Whoever is second between Giants/Cowboys, the Vikings, the Seahawks, the Saints,and the Lions. I don't think anyone else in the NFC is a threat to finish above 8-8.
I am about 90% sure a 9-7 team will make it in the NFC, possibly even two. So 9-7 would be the goal to be in the conversation... And if the Redskins were to get to 9-7, they'd likely hold a tie-breaker over almost all of those teams.
Here is another fact... If the Redskins win their next three games, they be guaranteed to be within one game of the division lead with four left. And if the Giants lose to the Packers mixed in there, and we won those three games, we'd be in first place holding tie breakers regardless of everything else that happens.
Point being, the reality is a longshot of all longshots, but the math isn't as daunting as you might think. With 5 division games left and with already holding a tie breaker over the Vikings and Saints, I think 9-7 would get us in almost without question.
So, its not 7-0 or we don't go.... It's 6-1 or we don't have fun